Foundations of risk analysis : a knowledge and decision-oriented perspective
- نوع فایل : کتاب
- زبان : انگلیسی
- مؤلف : Terje Aven
- ناشر : Chichester : Wiley,
- چاپ و سال / کشور: 2003
- شابک / ISBN : 9780471495482
Description
Foundations of Risk Analysis; Contents; Preface; 1 Introduction; 2 Common Thinking about Risk and Risk Analysis; 3 How to Think about Risk and Risk Analysis; 4 How to Assess Uncertainties and Specify Probabilities; 5 How to Use Risk Analysis to Support Decision-Making; 6 Summary and Conclusions; Appendix A Basic Theory of Probability and Statistics; Appendix B Terminology; Bibliography; Index;
Everyday we face decisions that carry an element of risk and uncertainty. The ability to analyse, communicate and control the level of risk entailed by these decisions remains one of the most pressing challenges to the analyst, scientist and manager. This book presents the foundational issues in risk analysis - expressing risk, understanding what risk means, building risk models, addressing uncertainty, and applying probability models to real problems.
