Managing strategic surprise : lessons from risk management and risk assessment
- نوع فایل : کتاب
- زبان : انگلیسی
- مؤلف : Paul Bracken
- ناشر : Cambridge [u.a.] : Cambridge Univ. Press
- چاپ و سال / کشور: 2008
- شابک / ISBN : 9780521883153
Description
1. Introduction Paul Bracken, Ian Bremmer and David Gordon; 2. How to build a warning system Paul Bracken; 3. Intelligence management as risk management: the case of surprise attack Uzi Arad; 4. Nuclear proliferation epidemiology: uncertainty, surprise, and risk management Lewis A. Dunn; 5. Precaution against terrorism Jessica Stern and Jonathan B. Wiener; 6. Defense planning and risk management in the presence of deep uncertainty Paul K. Davis; 7. Managing energy security risks in a changing world Coby van der Linde; 8. What markets miss: political stability frameworks and country risk Preston Keat; 9. The risk of failed state contagion Jeffrey Herbst; 10. Conclusion: managing strategic surprise Paul Bracken, Ian Bremmer and David Gordon.
Asks whether risk management techniques can be successfully applied to contemporary national security challenges.
