The impact of climate change on European lakes

Contents 1 The Impact of Climate Change on European Lakes . . . . . . . . . 1 Glen George 2 Using Regional Climate Models to Quantify the Impact of Climate Change on Lakes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Patrick Samuelsson 3 Modeling the Effects of Climate Change on Catchment Hydrology with the GWLF Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 Elliot Schneiderman, Marko Järvinen, Eleanor Jennings, Linda May, Karen Moore, Pamela S. Naden, and Don Pierson 4 Lake Ice Phenology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 David M. Livingstone, Rita Adrian, Thorsten Blenckner, Glen George, and Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer 5 Modelling the Formation and Decay of Lake Ice . . . . . . . . . . . 63 Matti Leppäranta 6 The Impact of the Changing Climate on the Thermal Characteristics of Lakes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 Lauri Arvola, Glen George, David M. Livingstone, Marko Järvinen, Thorsten Blenckner, Martin T. Dokulil, Eleanor Jennings, Caitriona Nic Aonghusa, Peeter Nõges, Tiina Nõges, and Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer 7 Modelling the Impact of Climate Change on the Thermal Characteristics of Lakes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 Ian Jones, Jörgen Sahlberg, and Irina Persson 8 The Impact of the Changing Climate on the Supply and Re-Cycling of Phosphorus . . . . . . . . . . . . 121 Kurt Pettersson, Glen George, Peeter Nõges, Tiina Nõges, and Thorsten Blenckner xi xii Contents 9 Modeling the Effects of Climate Change on the Supply of Phosphate-Phosphorus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 Don Pierson, Lauri Arvola, Norman Allott, Marko Järvinen, Eleanor Jennings, Linda May, Karen Moore, and Elliot Schneiderman 10 The Impact of the Changing Climate on the Supply and Recycling of Nitrate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161 Glen George, Marko Järvinen, Tiina Nõges, Thorsten Blenckner, and Karen Moore 11 Modelling the Effects of Climate Change on the Supply of Inorganic Nitrogen . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179 Karen Moore, Eleanor Jennings, Norman Allott, Linda May, Marko Järvinen, Lauri Arvola, Toomas Tamm, Arvo Järvet, Tiina Nõges, Don Pierson, and Elliot Schneiderman 12 Impacts of Climate on the Flux of Dissolved Organic Carbon from Catchments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 199 Eleanor Jennings, Marko Järvinen, Norman Allott, Lauri Arvola, Karen Moore, Pam Naden, Caitriona Nic Aonghusa, Tiina Nõges, and Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer 13 Modelling the Impacts of Climate Change on Dissolved Organic Carbon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 221 Pamela S. Naden, Norman Allott, Lauri Arvola, Marko Järvinen, Eleanor Jennings, Karen Moore, Caitriona Nic Aonghusa, Don Pierson, and Elliot Schneiderman 14 The Impact of Variations in the Climate on Seasonal Dynamics of Phytoplankton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 253 Peeter Nõges, Rita Adrian, Orlane Anneville, Lauri Arvola, Thorsten Blenckner, Glen George, Thomas Jankowski, Marko Järvinen, Stephen Maberly, Judit Padisák, Dietmar Straile, Katrin Teubner, and Gesa Weyhenmeyer 15 Modeling the Effects of Climate Change on the Seasonal Dynamics of Phytoplankton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 275 Thorsten Blenckner, Alex Elliott, Hampus Markensten, Charlotta Pers, and Stephen Thackeray 16 The Influence of Changes in the Atmospheric Circulation on the Surface Temperature of Lakes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 293 Glen George, Ulrike Nickus, Martin T. Dokulil, and Thorsten Blenckner Contents xiii 17 Regional and Supra-Regional Coherence in Limnological Variables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 311 David M. Livingstone, Rita Adrian, Lauri Arvola, Thorsten Blenckner, Martin T. Dokulil, Renata E. Hari, Glen George, Thomas Jankowski, Marko Järvinen, Eleanor Jennings, Peeter Nõges, Tiina Nõges, Dietmar Straile, and Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer 18 The Impact of Climate Change on Lakes in Northern Europe . . . 339 Thorsten Blenckner, Rita Adrian, Lauri Arvola, Marko Järvinen, Peeter Nõges, Tiina Nõges, Kurt Pettersson, and Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer 19 The Impact of Climate Change on Lakes in Britain and Ireland . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 359 Glen George, Eleanor Jennings, and Norman Allott 20 The Impact of Climate Change on Lakes in Central Europe . . . . 387 Martin T. Dokulil, Katrin Teubner, Alfred Jagsch, Ulrike Nickus, Rita Adrian, Dietmar Straile, Thomas Jankowski, Alois Herzig, and Judit Padisák 21 Developing a Decision Support System for Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Lakes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 411 Ari Jolma, Teemu Kokkonen, Harri Koivusalo, Hanne Laine, and Külli Tiits 22 The Socioeconomic Consequences of Climate Change for the Management of Water Resources . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 437 Ian J. Bateman and Stavros Georgiou 23 Climate Change and the Water Framework Directive . . . . . . . . 453 Tom Frisk and Glen George 24 Climate Change Impacts from aWater Supply Perspective . . . . . 469 Lorraine L. Janus Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 493